Now in its eighth year, Perspectives is Infrastructure Investor’s annual study of institutional investors’ approach to alternative asset classes.
More specifically, it provides a granular view of the alternatives market, both current and future, by gathering insight on investors’ asset allocation, propensity to invest and performance predictions.
For this 2020 study, our research and analytics team surveyed 146 institutional investors. Participation in Perspectives is anonymous, with the findings amalgamated.
Ahead of a full reveal alongside our February 2020 issue, here are three key findings infrastructure practitioners should be aware of:
Plenty of room for growth
A majority of the surveyed LPs said they are underallocated to the asset class. In fact, infrastructure was second only to private debt when it comes to investor underexposure. That means, of course, that the majority of respondents plan to invest more in infrastructure. It also means infrastructure, alongside private equity, is the asset class where investors are most keen to increase the number of GP relationships. The not so good news? First-time funds will have a hard time being heard, with 54 percent of respondents saying they do not plan to invest in them when it comes to infrastructure.
Last year, a record $102 billion was raised for closed-ended unlisted infrastructure funds. This year might well top that tally, although that will be entirely dependent on the close of Brookfield’s and Global Infrastructure Partners’ fourth flagship funds. Regardless of where we end up in 2019, it seems clear infrastructure’s momentum is here to stay.
Open mind on structures and strategies
Open- or closed-ended funds, that is the question. This time, though, it turns out LPs are more divided than ever on which is better, with 41 percent opting for unlisted, closed-ended funds, 39 percent preferring open-ended structures and 20 percent saying they could go either way. Perhaps that’s not surprising. With $14 billion raised during the first phase of Blackstone’s open-ended debut vehicle, this structure has certainly received its fair share of renewed attention.
But LPs are not just keeping an open mind on structures. When asked what strategies (super-core, core, core-plus, value-add, opportunistic or infrastructure debt) they choose to invest in infrastructure, respondents showed a markedly opportunistic approach to the asset class.
Regulation keeps investors up at night
When asked directly what worries them, regulation clearly comes up as investors’ greatest concern, with 36 percent of respondents highlighting it as such. Again, that’s not entirely surprising, considering the regulatory flashpoints taking place across the world, whether it’s Ofwat’s push for record cuts to allowed returns (stay tuned for a final decision from the UK watchdog on Monday), or the uncertainty surrounding Australia’s frankly chaotic energy policy, evidenced by the “extreme anxiety” marginal loss factors are causing renewable energy investors.
Regulation is followed closely by worries about a frothy market, on the minds of 34 percent of our surveyed LPs. As Jason Clatworthy, Jay Moody and Hiral Bhatt, of Alvarez & Marsal Taxand wrote in a recent guest article on why education might be the next big infrastructure sector, “traditional infrastructure assets are being purchased for EBITDA multiples that can only be described as eye-watering”.
Political instability and rising interest rates round out the list of concerns.
It’s time to vote! Infrastructure Investor’s 11th annual global awards are in full swing, with our poll closing on 10 January 2020. As the only awards decided on by the industry, don’t miss your chance to have a say on which firms and deals best represented the asset class in 2019. If you have yet to do so, cast your vote now!